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      Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

      Date : 4th June 2018.

      MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 4th June 2018.




      Main Macro Events This Week

      The strength in the U.S. jobs report helped unwind a lot of the recent angst over trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainties that many investors feared were jeopardizing the global upswing in growth. The acceleration in the U.S. should override tariff worries, and the momentum should help offset the slowing out of Europe, especially as the uncertainties over the political situations in Italy and Spain have been resolved for now. The markets are likely to be consolidative this week as a number of factors impact.

      United States: This week’s calendar is light with few top tier reports, limited Treasury supply, and no Fedspeak given the blackout period ahead of the June 12, 13 FOMC meeting. Earnings have also slowed to a crawl. As for data, the May ISM non-manufacturing numbers (Tuesday) will be of most interest given the timeliness of the release. An increase by 0.7 point to 57.5 is expected, after falling 2.0 points to 56.8 in April, after hitting a 12-year high of 59.9 in January. The April JOLTS data (Tuesday) will add some details to the outlook but will be anticlimactic following the employment report. And while it continues to corroborate the strength in the labor market, it also suggests the market may not be as tight as perceived. The April trade report (Wednesday) will be tracked given the tariff uncertainties, and it will also help fine tune the improved Q2 GDP outlook.

      Canada: Canadian employment tops a busy week of economic data. The employment report (Friday) is expected to reveal a 20.0k bounce in jobs during May after the 1.1k dip in April, while the unemployment rate holds at a 40-year low 5.8%. The trade report (Wednesday) takes second place in the rankings of most-important-release-this-week, with the deficit expected to narrow to -C$2.8 bln in April from a -C$4.1 bln shortfall in March. Q1 productivity (Tuesday) is projected to slip 0.1% (q/q, sa) following the 0.2% gain in Q4. Building permits (Wednesday) are expected to fall 2.0% (m/m, sa) in April after the 3.1% rise in March values. The May Ivey PMI (Wednesday) is anticipated to slip to a still firm 70.0 in May from the seasonally adjusted 71.5 in April that was the firmest reading since the 73.2 seen in March of 2011. May housing starts (Friday) are expected to expand at a 215.0k unit pace, little changed from the 214.4k growth rate in April. Q1 capacity utilization (Friday) is seen rising to 86.1% from the 86.0% in Q4 that was strongest since Q2 of 2007’s matching 86.0%.

      The Bank of Canada publishes the twice annual Financial Stability Review (Thursday, 10:30 ET) with a press conference to follow at 11:15 ET. In the November Review, the Bank said the high level of household indebtedness and housing market vulnerabilities were the most important vulnerabilities.

      Europe: Political uncertainty in Italy and Spain may be resolved for now. But while the markets celebrated the new governments in Spain and Italy on Friday, the changes could spell trouble for the ECB and the stability of the Eurozone down the line if they bring uncontrolled deficit spending. With that in mind, and spreads having come in again, the chances that the ECB will commit to an end date for QE at the June 14 meeting are rising, especially after the jump in May HICP inflation. German orders data this week will be watched carefully, but even if data disappoints, it would further highlight that the central bank’s window of opportunity for the next step toward policy normalization is closing. Wrapping the end of QE in dovish guidance may be the best way to deal with the current uncertainty.

      This week’s round of data includes key German reports, including the April manufacturing orders (Thursday) which are expected to show a 0.7% m/m rebound. German industrial production for April (Friday) and the trade balance (Friday). Final Eurozone Q1 GDP is widely expected to be confirmed at 0.4% q/q, but comes with a slight downward bias, after the revision to the final French reading. The earlier timing of Easter and adverse weather conditions left their mark on growth in the first quarter and the data are too backward looking to really change the outlook.The calendar also has final Eurozone May services PMI, Eurozone retail sales and PPI inflation, and a German I/L bond auction Thursday, followed by a 5-year Bobl auction Wednesday. France sells bonds Thursday.

      UK: Brexit negotiations will continue this week while the data schedule is fairly quiet, highlighted by the release of the construction and services PMI surveys for May (due Monday and Tuesday, respectively). The construction PMI expected to come in with a headline reading of 52.0, down from 52.5 in April, which would indicate a modest slowing in the pace of expansion. Market participants will be keeping a watch out on the evolving Brexit negotiation, which is in a crucial phase and which remains fluid.

      Japan: In Japan, April personal income and PCE (Tuesday) should show consumption rising to a 1.0% y/y pace from the previous -0.7%. The second look at Q1 GDP (Friday) is penciled in at -0.4% q/q, modestly improving from the preliminary -0.6% pace. The April current account surplus (Friday) is set to narrow to JPY 2,000.0 bln from 3,122.3 bln.

      China’s trade balance (Friday) will get a lot of attention given the trade tensions with the U.S., though we shouldn’t be able to discern any impacts. The balance was at a $28.8 bln surplus in April with gains of 12.7% y/y for exports and 21.5% y/y for imports.

      Australia: The RBA’s policy meeting (Tuesday) is expected to result in no change to the current 1.50% rate setting. In the April meeting, Governor Lowe repeated that the low level of interest rates is supporting the economy. Something similar is expected in the June statement, consistent with a low for long outlook for policy. The data slate is highlighted by Q1 GDP (Wednesday), expected to accelerate to a 0.7% growth rate (q/q, sa) from the 0.4% pace in Q1. Retail sales (Monday) are projected to expand 0.4% (m/m, sa) in April after the flat reading in March. The current account (Tuesday) is projected to narrow to a -A$9.0 bln deficit in Q1 from -A$14.0 bln in Q4. The trade balance (Thursday) is seen narrowing to a A$1.1 bln surplus in April from A$1.5 bln in March.

      Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

      Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

      Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

      Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

      Click HERE to READ more Market news.


      Andria Pichidi
      Market Analyst
      HotForex


      Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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    3. #462
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      Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

      Date : 5th June 2018.

      MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 5th June 2018.




      FX News Today

      Asian Market Wrap: 10-year Treasury yields are down -0.5 bp at 2.937%, 10-year JGBs unchanged at 0.040%. After putting trade concerns aside and focusing on U.S. growth during the Monday session, stock markets struggled in Asia. The RBA left rates on hold as expected and maintained cautious optimism on the global and local growth outlook while suggesting that wage growth may have bottomed out, which saw the ASX underperforming and down -0.35%. Nikkei and Topix are up 0.20% and down -0.05% respectively, the Hang Seng gained 0.22% and the CSI outperformed with a 0.81% gain. A mixed picture, with markets appearing to take a wait and see stance. U.S. stock futures are slightly in the red, oil prices are slightly higher and the front end Nymex future is trading at USD 65.02 per barrel.

      FX Action: EURUSD has steadied above the N.Y. low of 1.1677, though continues to find sellers ahead of the 1.1700 mark. The pairing has steadied well above last week’s 11-month low of 1.1508, largely as the worst of the European political meltdown appears to be behind us for now. This said, there may still be some political fissures yet to bubble up, so EURUSD is expected to remain in sell-the-rally mode.

      Charts of the Day



      Main Macro Events Today

      * EU Markit Services PMI – Expectations – expected to be confirmed at 53.9, leaving the composite at 54.1, down from the previous month, but still pointing to a solid pace of expansion and at least for the manufacturing sector market reported ongoing job creation amid capacity constraints and an overall optimistic view on the outlook over the next 12 months.

      * UK Services PMI- Expectations – a dip is anticipated to 53.0 in the headline reading after 52.8 in April.

      * US May ISM non-manufacturing PMI – Expectations – will be of most interest given the timeliness of the release. A 0.7 point increase has been forecasted to 57.5, after falling 2.0 points to 56.8 in April, after hitting a 12-year high of 59.9 in January. The slight improvement will leave the service sector tracking the expected performance for the May factory surveys which are showing improvement. These readings remain robust, supported by fiscal stimulus as well as stronger global growth.

      * Canadian Q1 productivity – Expectations – projected to slip 0.1% (q/q, sa) following the 0.2% gain in Q4.

      * Speeches: UK MPC Member Cunliffe, German Buba President Weidmann, RBA Assist Gov Bullock

      Support & Resistance Levels



      Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

      Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

      Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

      Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

      Click HERE to READ more Market news.


      Andria Pichidi
      Market Analyst
      HotForex


      Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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      Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

      Date : 9th July 2018.

      MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 9th July 2018.




      Main Macro Events This Week

      The US June jobs report was another “Goldilocks” set of numbers for the markets, drawing back in workers from the ranks of the long-term unemployed. Broadbased strength in employment not only helped Wall Street rally but the surge in the labor force and tame wage gain allowed Treasury yields to drift lower, since the report offered no incentive for the FOMC to deviate from its “gradual pace” of normalization. Looking forward, inflation data will dominate in the week ahead, with the Fed comfortably close to its 2% target now. The Fed will also release its Monetary Policy Report on Friday with Chairman Powell’s key follow-up semi-annual testimony on July 17.

      United States: The US Economic calendar will zero in on inflation statistics for the week of July 9. Modest gains in the CPI and PPI are expected, with the y/y readings remaining above the Fed’s 2% target given hard comparisons. The Import Price Index may reveal weakness related to declining oil prices in the month, but export prices should post a modest gain. Consumer Credit (Monday) is projected to rise $12.0 bln in May, following a $9.3 bln gain in April. JOLTS job openings are due (Tuesday). Headline CPI (Wednesday) is expected to rise 0.2% in June, following a similar gain in May, while core prices are estimated to rise 0.2% as well, the same as in May. Wholesale inventories are expected to rise 0.5% in May (Wednesday), as revealed in the advance report, following a 0.1% gain in the prior month, and sales are estimated to rise 0.5% as well, after a 0.8% gain in April. CPI is forecast to rise 0.2% in June (Thursday), following a similar gain in May. Core prices are estimated to rise 0.2% as well, the same as in May. Initial jobless claims are estimated to fall 18k to 213k in the week ended July 7 (Thursday), reflecting an expected early-July drop related to auto retooling, and the Treasury budget gap may hit to -$133 bln in June. A 0.2% decline is expected in the Import Price Index in June (Friday), due to crude oil weakness, following a 0.6% gain in May, while export prices are expected to continue to move up 0.1%.

      Fedspeak kicks back into gear with just a week to go before Chairman Powell’s semi-annual testimony, which will be preceded by the Monetary Policy Report (MPR) on Friday, July 13 at 11:00 ET.

      Canada: Canada is focused squarely on the BoC meeting (Wednesday), which it is expected to result in a 25 basis point boost to a 1.50% rate setting. The accompanying monetary policy report should be consistent with additional rate increases, but at a gradual pace. The focus will be on Bank’s view on the ongoing trade/tariff issues, labor market slack and the inflation outlook. A housing-heavy data docket will be an afterthought this week. Housing starts (Tuesday) are expected to moderate to a 190.0k pace in June from 195.6k in May. Building permit values are seen dropping 2.0% in May after the 4.6% contraction in April. The New Home Price Index (Thursday) is projected to reveal a 0.1% dip (m/m, sa) in May after the flat reading in April. Existing home sales for June are expected on Friday. The Teranet/National Bank Housing Price Index for June is also scheduled for Thursday.

      Europe: ECB tried to inject calm and prevent rate hike expectations from running ahead when it pledged to keep key rates steady through the summer of next year. But with growth indicators confirming that the recovery is not dead yet and inflation jumping higher, officials are now trying to regain control especially over the short end. ECB speakers will be important in this context. President Draghi will testify to the European Parliament in Brussels (Monday). It will be interesting to see whether he backs recent “source” stories suggesting ECB is eyeing the first rate hike in September/October next year, which would also be the last meetings for Draghi as President.

      Final Eurozone June inflation data is expected to confirm the German HICP rate (Thursday) at 2.1% y/y. The French reading (Tuesday) also is at a 2.1% y/y rate which should leave the overall Eurozone number (due July 18) on course to be confirmed at 2.0% y/y. German data in particular bounced back strongly with May production and orders figures. Yet, while ongoing political uncertainty and risks of an escalating trade war have weighed on some confidence measures, there is some room for an upside surprise in German ZEW confidence (Tuesday). Still, this is investor confidence data which is more impacted by uncertainties and concerns about political events and at least the latest real sector numbers out of Germany have been very encouraging. Indeed, after German production growth was reported at 2.6% m/m in May, rebounds are expected in French (Tuesday), Italian (Tuesday) and Eurozone Production figures (Thursday). The calendar also has trade data for Germany.

      UK: The calendar is fairly quiet in terms of economic releases, highlighted by the June BRC Retail Sales survey (Tuesday), and May Industrial Production and Trade data (also Tuesday).

      The government has — after more than two years from vote-to-leave the EU — finally worked out what it wants from a post-Brexit deal with the EU. This was hammered out in a climactic Cabinet meeting on Friday, which saw the hard Brexiteers give up ground to reach a compromise. The government will seek a “EU-UK free trade area which establishes a common rule book for industrial goods and agricultural products,” which essentially means a single market for goods, along with a “facilitated customs arrangement” to address the need for a frictionless border in Ireland. It remains doubtful that the EU will agree to the free market for goods part, however, having maintained that the UK will not be able to cherry pick which parts of the single market to take part in. It also remains uncertain how effective the proposed frictionless customs arrangement will be. There are now only 5 negotiating weeks left until October, when both the EU and UK are looking to have an agreement in place.

      Japan: The May Machine Orders (Wednesday) are seen contracting 5.0% m/m, essentially halving the April 10.1% climb. The May Tertiary Industry Index (Wednesday) is pencilled in slipping 0.1% after rising 1.0% in April. June PPI (Wednesday) should warm up to 2.9% y/y from 2.7%. Also slated is the final May reading on Industrial Production (Friday). It declined 0.2% in the preliminary report, after gains of 0.5% in April, 1.4% in March, and 2.0% in February.

      China: It’s the June Trade Report (Friday) that will be the focal point. Inflation reports are also due with June CPI and PPI (Tuesday). CPI is expected to accelerate a bit to a 2.0% y/y pace versus 1.8% y/y previously, with PPI rising to 4.5% y/y from 4.1%. June loan growth and new Yuan loans are tentatively due Tuesday as well.

      Australia: In Australia, Housing Investment (Wednesday) features on a thin data docket. A 3.0% drop is expected in May after the 1.4% gain in April. RBA Assistant Governor (Financial System) Bullock speaks at the 5th Bund Summit on Fintech from Shanghai, China (Sunday). The RBA held rates steady last week and maintained expectations for no change for an extended period.

      New Zealand: Retail Card Spending (Tuesday) is the only release of note and it is expected at a 0.7% gain (m/m) in June after the 0.4% rise in May. At the June meeting, the RBNZ held rates at 1.75% and opened the door to a rate cut if necessary. The next move is expected to be a rate increase. The next meeting is on August 9.

      Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

      Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

      Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

      Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

      Click HERE to READ more Market news.


      Andria Pichidi
      Market Analyst
      HotForex


      Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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      Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

      Date : 10th July 2018.

      MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 10th July 2018.




      FX News Today

      Asian Market Wrap: Long yields continue to climb and 10-year Treasury yields are up 0.7 bp at 2.864%, 10-year JGBs up 0.6 bp at 0.032% as Stock Markets remained in risk on mode during the Asian session. Nikkei gained 1.09% after a strong close on Wall Street and with the earnings season starting to overshadow lingering trade jitters – at least for now. A weaker Yen added Support. The Hang Seng is up 0.36%, but CSI 300 and Shanghai Comp are down -0.20% and -0.11% respectively after their biggest rally in more than 2 years and as Inflation numbers came in higher than anticipated, but also reflecting lingering trade war concerns ahead of the next round of US tariffs due to be confirmed on July 20. Many expect markets to remain volatile ahead of July 20 – the date for the next set of US levies on Chinese imports. US stock futures are higher, however, and oil prices are up and the WTI future is trading at USD 74.29 per barrel.

      FX Update: USDJPY has broken above recent range highs and printed a 7-week high at 111.14. EURJPY and other Yen crosses are also up, with EURJPY trading in 7-week high terrain and AUDJPY making 1-month highs. The driver of the yen’s underperformance is the continued rebound in global Stock Markets, although Chinese shares continue to underperform. The solid US jobs report last Friday and expectations for a strong corporate earnings season have been buoying equities, and while the shift toward trade protectionism remains at the top of the worry list of investors, the level of implemented tariffs so far is small in the scheme of things. BoJ Governor Kuroda yesterday repeated that the central bank will remain committed to ultra-accommodative monetary policy, including yield-curve control, until inflation hits the 2% target. USDJPY has Support at 110.88-90 while the May-21 high at 111.39, which is the highest level seen since mid January, provides an upside waypoint.

      Charts of the Day



      Main Macro Events Today

      * UK Production Data – Expectations – Industrial production expected to rebound by 0.5% m/m after contracting by 0.8% m/m in the month prior, while we see the narrower manufacturing output figure rising 0.8% m/m after declining by 1.4% m/m in April.
      * UK Trade Balance – Expectations – expected to fall to 11.9B from 14.0B last month.

      * German ZEW – Expectations – July investor sentiment reading anticipated at -18.0 down from -16.1 in June, confirming that pessimists still outnumber optimists.

      * Canadian Housing Starts – Expectations – expected to rebound to a 210.0k pace in June after falling to 195.6k in May from 216.8k in April.

      Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

      Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

      Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

      Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

      Click HERE to READ more Market news.


      Andria Pichidi
      Market Analyst
      HotForex


      Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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      Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

      Date : 11th July 2018.

      MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 11th July 2018.




      FX News Today

      European Fixed Income Outlook: The 10-year Bund yield is trading at 0.3598% as of 06:12 GMT, down from a close of 0.3672% on Tuesday. Safe haven flows are once again underpinning core Bond Markets and 10-year Treasury yields are down 1.5 bp at 2.834%, after a Trump announced a fresh round of tariffs on Chinese imports and reloaded the trade war threat. Stock markets sold off across Asia and European Futures are also heading south in tandem with US Futures. With little on the European data calendar, trade jitters are likely to remain the main focus in markets, although many expect investors to quickly start to focus on the earnings season again after the initial sharp reaction. Germany and Italy are set to sell Bonds today and there are a number of ECB speakers including president Draghi.

      FX Update: The Dollar majors have traded in narrow ranges so far today amid a tone of heightened caution as stock markets take a fresh tumble, led by Chinese bourses, due to another ratchet in trade warning tensions between the US and China. US Index Futures have also seen hefty declines. USDJPY has settled lower, near the 111.0 mark, after printing a 7-week high at 111.35 yesterday, while AUDJPY, a relatively high beta cross, is down quite sharply, by over 0.6%. AUDUSD is down by a similar magnitude. Most emerging market currencies have also come under pressure against the Dollar, giving back some of their rebound gains seen in recent sessions. EURUSD has lifted back above 1.1700, rebounding from yesterday’s three-session low at 1.1690. The pair has been trading in a broadly sideways, at times choppy, range for over a month now, and more of the same is anticipated.

      Charts of the Day



      Main Macro Events Today

      * ECB speeches –ECB President Draghi delivers a speech at the ECB Statistics Conference in Frankfurt, along with Praet and Lautenschläger.

      * US PPI and Core – Expectations – Headline PPI is expected to rise 0.2% in June, following a similar gain in May, while core prices are estimated to rise 0.2% as well, the same as in May.

      * BoC Monetary Policy and Rate statement – Expectations – BoC expected to raise the policy rate 25 basis points. Economic data has come in roughly as the Bank projected, with growth running around capacity and underlying inflation at 2%.

      * BoC Press Conference

      Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

      Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

      Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

      Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

      Click HERE to READ more Market news.


      Andria Pichidi
      Market Analyst
      HotForex


      Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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      Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

      Date : 12th July 2018.

      MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 12th July 2018.




      FX News Today

      Asian Market Wrap: Long yields moved higher as risk appetite improved. The 10-year Treasury yield is up 0.9 bp at 2.858% and the 10-year JGB yield is up 0.3 bp at 0.032%. Asian stock markets meanwhile recovered from yesterday’s slump, with Chinese markets outperforming as trade jitters abated somewhat as Chinese and U.S. officials reportedly flagged the prospect of returning to talks, with China’s Vice Minister of Commerce calling for bilateral negotiations to resolve the conflict. BoK’s decision to leave the 7-day repo rate unchanged at 1.50%, as expected had little impact. Nikkei and Topix are up 0.54% and 1.23% respectively, with a weaker Yen underpinning gains. The Hang Seng gained 1.00% and the CSI 300 is up 2.57%. US Futures are moving higher and the WTI Future is up from a low of EUR 70.60, but at USD 70.80 still considerably below recent levels.

      German June HICP confirmed at 2.1% y/y, as expected. There were no real surprises in the data, which confirmed that higher energy prices are a key reason for the overshoot in the headline rate above ECB’s target. Heating oil prices rose 30.3% y/y, after 24.3% y/y in the previous month and petrol price inflation accelerated to 11.3% y/y from 8.2% y/y. Still, with the labour market looking tight and companies facing capacity constraints the room for a second round of effects to emerge is clearly larger than it was a year ago, which may explain why some at the ECB are nervous about markets pushing out rate hike expectations too far back.

      Charts of the Day



      Main Macro Events Today

      * BOE Credit Conditions Survey

      * ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts

      * US CPI and Core – Expectations – forecast to rise 0.2% in June, following a similar gain in May. Core prices are estimated to rise 0.2% as well, the same as in May.

      * US Jobless claims – Expectations – estimated to fall 18k to 213k in the week ended July 7, reflecting an expected early-July drop related to auto retooling

      Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

      Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

      Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

      Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

      Click HERE to READ more Market news.


      Andria Pichidi
      Market Analyst
      HotForex


      Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
      Date : 12th July 2018.

      MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 12th July 2018.




      FX News Today

      Asian Market Wrap: Long yields moved higher as risk appetite improved. The 10-year Treasury yield is up 0.9 bp at 2.858% and the 10-year JGB yield is up 0.3 bp at 0.032%. Asian stock markets meanwhile recovered from yesterday’s slump, with Chinese markets outperforming as trade jitters abated somewhat as Chinese and U.S. officials reportedly flagged the prospect of returning to talks, with China’s Vice Minister of Commerce calling for bilateral negotiations to resolve the conflict. BoK’s decision to leave the 7-day repo rate unchanged at 1.50%, as expected had little impact. Nikkei and Topix are up 0.54% and 1.23% respectively, with a weaker Yen underpinning gains. The Hang Seng gained 1.00% and the CSI 300 is up 2.57%. US Futures are moving higher and the WTI Future is up from a low of EUR 70.60, but at USD 70.80 still considerably below recent levels.

      German June HICP confirmed at 2.1% y/y, as expected. There were no real surprises in the data, which confirmed that higher energy prices are a key reason for the overshoot in the headline rate above ECB’s target. Heating oil prices rose 30.3% y/y, after 24.3% y/y in the previous month and petrol price inflation accelerated to 11.3% y/y from 8.2% y/y. Still, with the labour market looking tight and companies facing capacity constraints the room for a second round of effects to emerge is clearly larger than it was a year ago, which may explain why some at the ECB are nervous about markets pushing out rate hike expectations too far back.

      Charts of the Day



      Main Macro Events Today

      * BOE Credit Conditions Survey

      * ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts

      * US CPI and Core – Expectations – forecast to rise 0.2% in June, following a similar gain in May. Core prices are estimated to rise 0.2% as well, the same as in May.

      * US Jobless claims – Expectations – estimated to fall 18k to 213k in the week ended July 7, reflecting an expected early-July drop related to auto retooling

      Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

      Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

      Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

      Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

      Click HERE to READ more Market news.


      Andria Pichidi
      Market Analyst
      HotForex


      Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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      Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

      Do you offer platform which made particularly for news traders. I'm interested in instant execution do you offer such account and is the trading on them active during news?

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      Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

      Date : 16th July 2018.

      MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 16th July 2018.




      Main Macro Events This Week

      Politics will continue to dominate the landscape in early Q3, pretty much as it’s done for most of the year amid escalating trade tensions. Of course, President Trump’s meeting with President Putin in Helsinki (Monday) is anxiously awaited and follows his meetings last week with PM May and NATO. While the political uncertainties have left the markets choppy, signs of strengthening US growth have overshadowed potential drags from trade and have provided global support to equities.

      United States: Fed Chairman Powell’s Monetary Policy testimony (Tuesday) would normally be the key event. However, with the FOMC unlikely to divert from its gradualist policy path anytime soon, and especially amid trade uncertainties, attention will shift to earnings announcements and data. The end result of the testimony, however, should support expectations for another 25 bp hike at the September 25, 26 FOMC meeting, while the chances for another tightening in December will be assessed, though that will depend largely on data. Powell will reprise his testimony to the House Financial Services Committee (Wednesday).

      In terms of economic reports, it’s the June Retail Sales report (Monday) that’s the star. Also due is June Industrial Production (Tuesday), seen rising 0.5%, rebounding from a 0.1% decline in May, based on the rise in hours-worked from the jobs report. The Empire State index (Monday) should fall to 20.0 in July from an 8-month high of 25.0 in June. The Philly Fed index (Thursday) is expected to rise to 23.0 in July after falling to a 19-month low of 19.9 in June. Slated too are Housing Starts (Wednesday), estimated falling 2.2% to 1.320 mln in June, following a 5.0% surge to a new cycle-high of 1.350 mln in May.

      Canada: June Existing Homes Sales report is expected Monday. Manufacturing Shipments (Tuesday) are expected to rise 0.5% in May after the 1.3% drop in April. Retail Sales (Friday) are seen snapping back 1.0% in May after the 1.2% loss in April that was blamed on poor weather during the month. The ex-autos sales aggregate is seen rising 0.5% after a 0.1% dip. The CPI (Friday) is expected to slip 0.1% in June (m/m, nsa) after the surprisingly slim 0.1% gain in May, as falling gasoline prices impact in June. The annual growth rate is seen at 2.2% (y/y, nsa), matching the 2.2% y/y clip in May. The three core CPI measures are expected to maintain the 1.9% annual rate of expansion in June.

      Europe: Politics have been dominating the agenda last week and this week is unlikely to be different, with Europe not only looking nervously to President Trump’s meeting with President Putin, but also once again to Brussels. So far the focus has been on PM May’s battle to sell her “soft Brexit” vision at home, but she still has to get an agreement with EU leaders. This week’s calendar includes Eurozone trade and current account numbers, which generally don’t have too much market impact, although a strong export number would underpin the central scenario of still robust growth, while at the same time, will fuel the debate on the EU’s and especially Germany’s trade reliance against the background of rising protectionism. The highlight of the data calendar is the final reading of Eurozone June HICP inflation.

      UK: Political developments and Brexit will remain sharply in focus. President Trump’s apparent walking back on Friday of his criticisms of Prime Minister May — after championing Boris Johnson’s credentials as a potential PM in an interview with a Murdoch-owned tabloid newspaper that is wanting to topple PM May — lifted both the Pound and UK yields.

      The data calendar this week is pretty busy, highlighted by monthly Labor data (Tuesday), June Inflation data (Wednesday), and June Retail Sales (Thursday).The labor report expected to show the Unemployment Rate remaining at 4.2%, and Average Household Income also remaining unchanged at a rate of 2.5% y/y in the three months to June. June CPI is expected to tick upward, to 2.6% y/y from the unexpected dip in the prior month to 2.4%, which would be consistent with BoE projections made in its May Inflation Report.

      Japan: The markets are closed Monday. The June Trade report (Thursday) is expected to see the previous JPY 580.5 bln deficit turn to a JPY 580.0 bln surplus as exports likely outpaced imports on a 12-month basis. June national CPI (Friday) is penciled in accelerating to a 0.9% y/y clip overall, from 0.7% in May, as oil prices firmed and JPY softened. The latter has also likely helped push the core rate to 0.8% y/y, from May’s 0.7%. The May all Industry index (Friday) is forecast to fall 0.1% m/m from the prior 1.0% gain.

      Australia: The Employment report (Thursday) takes top billing, where a 15.0k gain is expected in June after the 12.0k rise in May. The Unemployment Rate is projected at 5.4%, matching May and down from 5.6% in April. The minutes of RBA’s July meeting are due Tuesday. To review, RBA held the cash rate steady at 1.50% at the meeting this month and maintained expectations for no change for an extended period.

      New Zealand: The calendar has Q2 CPI (Tuesday), expected to rise 0.6% after the 0.5% gain in Q1 (q/q, sa). At the June meeting, RBNZ held rates at 1.75% and opened the door to a rate cut if necessary. It is expected that the next move will be a rate increase — but the current expectation is for steady policy well into next year. The next meeting is on August 9.

      Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

      Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

      Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

      Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

      Click HERE to READ more Market news.


      Andria Pichidi
      Market Analyst
      HotForex


      Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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      Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

      Date : 17th July 2018.

      MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 17th July 2018.




      FX News Today

      Asian Market Wrap: Long yields continued to move higher during the Asian session, with 10-year Treasury yields up 0.5bp at 2.864% and 10-year JGB yields up 0.4 bp at 0.033%. Asian stock markets traded mixed, with Japanese bourses outperforming after returning from yesterday’s holiday as the Yen declined. Chinese Equities meanwhile sold off amid lingering trade jitters and with investors not convinced that earnings can compensate for the rise in protectionism. Markets are looking ahead to Fed Chairman Powell’s testimony to Congress. Nikkei is currently up 0.78%, while Hang Seng and CSI 300 are down -1.06% and -1.25%. US Stock Futures are narrowly mixed, and Oil prices are little changed at USD 67.99 per barrel.

      FX Update: The Dollar majors have been holding narrow ranges for the most part, with EURUSD, USDJPY, Cable, AUDUSD, and other pairings, showing respective net changes of less than 0.2% on the day so far. EURUSD has been making time in the lower 1.1700s, and USDJPY in the lower 112.00s, after edging out a two-session high of 112.57. The Sterling has held up after the UK government scrapped through four parliamentary votes on its Customs Bill late yesterday, which was seen as a litmus test of the so-called Chequers plan (the Cabinet rubber-stamped plan laying out what it wants out of Brexit). There is another parliamentary vote today. While some hardline Brexiteers MPs are agitating for a no confidence vote in the prime minister, so far they are reported to lack sufficient support, and Boris Johnson, the Brexiteer with the most political weight, has remained on the side lines. Sterling market participants will be watching developments closely.

      Charts of the Day



      Main Macro Events Today

      * BOE Gov Carney Speech

      * UK Unemployment Rate and Average Earnings– Expectations – The Labor report is expected to show the unemployment rate remaining at 4.2%, and average household income also remaining unchanged at a rate of 2.5% y/y in the three months to June.

      * US Industrial Production – Expectations – to rise 0.5%, rebounding from a 0.1% decline in May, based on the rise in hours-worked from the jobs report.

      * Canadian Manufacturing – Expectations – to rise 0.5% after the 1.3% drop in April.

      * Fed Chair Powell Testimony – Expectations – The Fed chief will likely be grilled on the impacts of trade, but he’ll have to take a wait and see approach there, while noting there are risks to the downside.

      Support and Resistance levels



      Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

      Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

      Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

      Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

      Click HERE to READ more Market news.


      Andria Pichidi
      Market Analyst
      HotForex


      Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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      Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

      Date : 18th July 2018.

      MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 18th July 2018.




      FX News Today

      Asian Market Wrap: 10-year Treasury and JGB yields moved slightly higher, as is appetite improved and stock markets advanced across Asia with the Fed Chairman Powell injecting fresh life into equity markets with an upbeat assessment of the US economy. Positive leads from the US and a record high in the NASDAQ helped to underpin sentiment in Asia amid mixed earnings reports this week. Topix and Nikkei are up 0.48% and 0.71% respectively. The Hang Seng gained 0.20% so far and the CSI 300 0.59%, while the ASX is up 0.61%. Improved risk appetite saw 10-year Treasury yields rising 0.5 bp to 2.866% and 10-year JGB yields are up 0.7 bp at 0.035%, while yields declined in China, Australia and New Zealand. US stock futures suggest further gains in US markets today. The WTI future is down on the day and trading at USD 67.68 per barrel.

      FX Update: The Dollar has traded firmer for a 2nd day, buoyed by an upbeat prognosis of the US economy and outlook by Fed chair Powell yesterday at his semi-annual testimony before the Senate Banking Committee. EURUSD descended to a 3-day low at 1.1631 while USDJPY ascended above 113.00 for the first time since January. AU-USD printed a 1-week low at 0.7363 and USDCAD a 3-week high at 1.3227. Powell’s remarks seemed to hit a sweet spot, having expressed optimism on the growth outlook while being somewhat circumscribed on inflation, which leaves the Fed on course for another 25 bp hike in September, and another in December, but not to the displeasure of equity investors, who have also been encouraged by positive Q2 corporate earnings announcements, and expectations for more to come. In the UK, the Prime Minister once again survived a key vote on a Brexit-related bill by the skin of her teeth last night (although lost one concerning the regulation of medicines after Brexit). So the PM and her government survives, but Brexit process is looking borderline disorderly.

      Charts of the Day



      Main Macro Events Today

      * UK CPI & Retail Sales – Expectations – June CPI is expected to tick upward, to 2.6% y/y from the unexpected dip in the prior month to 2.4%, which would be consistent with BoE projections made in its May Inflation Report. As for Retail Sales, growth of 0.2% m/m in June is anticipated, down from the strong 1.3% m/m growth that was posted in May.

      * Eurozone CPI – Expectations – Eurozone HICP inflation reached 2.0% y/y with the preliminary release, thus hitting ECB’s upper limit for price stability. However, with French as well as Italian HICP rates revised down by 0.1 percentage points with the final numbers, there is the chance of a downward revision to the final reading. Even with a slight downward revision we don’t expect ECB to be changing its key policy parameters which include the phasing out of net asset purchases by the end of the year.

      * US Building Permits – Expectations – estimated to be falling 2.2% to 1.320 mln in June, following a 5.0% surge to a new cycle-high of 1.350 mln in May.

      * Fed Chair Powell Testimony for a 2nd day

      Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

      Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

      Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

      Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

      Click HERE to READ more Market news.

      Andria Pichidi
      Market Analyst
      HotForex

      Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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      Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

      Date : 19th July 2018.

      MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 19th July 2018.




      FX News Today

      Asian Market Wrap: Bond as well as stock markets traded mixed during the Asian session. 10-year Treasury yields rose 1.7 bp to 2.886%, after Fed Chairman Powell’s hearing did little to derail rate hike expectations. 10-year JGB yields meanwhile dropped -0.3 bp to 0.031%, as the BoJ cut back its purchases of longer-maturity bonds for the first time since January. Australian 10-year yields surged 3.3 bp as Australia employment surged, thus underpinning expectations for wage growth, inflation and a rate hike further down the line. Stock markets are narrowly mixed, with Topix and Nikkei up 0.03% and down -0.06% respectively. The Hang Seng is down -0.12%, the CSI 300 down -0.09%. The ASX 200 is up 0.36% after the strong employment numbers, but US stock futures are also trading narrowly mixed. Oil prices are marginally higher on the day with the WTI future trading at USD 68.78 per barrel.

      Australia employment surged 50.9k in June, well in excess of expectations following the 13.4k rise in May (was +12.0k). The details were upbeat, as full time employment rose 41.2k after a 19.9k drop (was -20.6k). Part time jobs grew 9.7k after a 33.4k gain (was +32.6k). The unemployment rate was 5.4% in June, matching May. The participation rate rose to 65.7% from 65.5%, restraining the unemployment rate. This report is strong, but it is not likely to persuade RBA to raise rates anytime soon given still non-threatening underlying inflation growth and concerns about downside risk to China’s outlook. Moreover, the July meeting minutes saw the Bank observing that there is likely ongoing excess capacity in the labour market. AUDUSD jumped to 0.7435 on the surprisingly strong job gain, from about 0.7400, before slipping slightly to 0.7425.

      Charts of the Day



      Main Macro Events Today

      * UK Retail Sales – Expectations – growth of 0.3% m/m in June is anticipated, down from the strong 1.3% m/m growth that was posted in May.

      * US Philly Fed Manufacturing Index – Expectations – Expected to rise to 21.0 in July, after falling to a 19-month low of 19.9 in June.

      * US Jobless Claims – Expectations – estimated to be rising to 220K, following the 214K last week.

      Support and Resistance Levels



      Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

      Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

      Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

      Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

      Click HERE to READ more Market news.

      Andria Pichidi
      Market Analyst
      HotForex

      Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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